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/ International Affairs

The US and Iran have finally agreed to a peace deal

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The US and Iran reached a preliminary agreement that could officially end more than three months of fighting and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most important energy shipping routes.

The update is great news for the global economy, which has dealt with high inflation since the war began in late February. Oil prices plunged, the Dow closed at a record high, and markets rallied on the news.

What’s in the deal?

The proposed deal would extend their ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and begin a new round of negotiations focused on Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. According to President Donald Trump:

  • Iran has agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping without β€œtoll fees,” while the US has pledged to lift its naval blockade of Iranian ports.

  • The ceasefire is contingent on ending hostilities in Lebanon between Israel and the Iranian-backed Hezbollah group.

  • Details surrounding Iran’s nuclear program are scheduled to be discussed after the deal is formally signed.

While key details still need to be finalized, the announcement marks one of the strongest signs yet that the months-long conflict could be nearing an end and finally spark the lowering of gas prices.

There is one hiccup… as both the US and Iran have offered differing accounts on key issues, including the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions, and Iran’s nuclear program. See more here.

What will happen next? Although both parties have signed the agreement virtually, an official signing agreement will take place on Friday in Geneva, Switzerland. It is expected that a full text of the deal will be released then as well.

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Why should you care?

While an end to the war will halt the threat of a $5-a-gallon nightmare, Americans should expect a slow, gradual decline at the pump. Experts expect a drop in gas prices to take months, if not longer, as shipping bottlenecks, clearing minefields, and limited refining capacity will delay actual crude shipments.

Follow this story as it evolves with NextGen+. Click the button below to see its status, momentum, and other key developments.

/ Technology

The White House made Anthropic shut down its most powerful models

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AI powerhouse Anthropic shut down its newest and most powerful AI models, Fable 5 and Mythos 5, after receiving a US government order citing national security concerns.

It’s a double-edged sword

Anthropic first released Mythos to more than 40 tech giants in April, including Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and others responsible for critical digital infrastructure, to help find bugs in their systems. It worked:

  • The model identified thousands of severe software vulnerabilities within weeks.

  • However, Anthropic said it wouldn’t release it publicly, fearing that hackers could use the tech to identify and exploit weaknesses (see previous briefing).

That decision was quickly overturned: Since then, Anthropic has expanded access to Mythos to more than 150 organizations, and the company released Fable, a new version of the model with more safety protections, last week.

So, why shut it down?

According to anonymous sources, Amazon allegedly raised concerns that the model could be β€œjailbroken” and used without the additional safeguards that prevented it from finding software vulnerabilities:

  • The Trump administration then gave the company roughly 90 minutes to take the models offline.

  • After Anthropic declined, the White House imposed export restrictions on certain models Friday, effectively forcing them offline.

What happens now? Anthropic claims that Fable’s safeguards are holding up under testing, saying no researchers β€œhave yet been able to find a universal jailbreak.” Meanwhile, senior staff are reportedly in Washington attempting to resolve the standoff with administration officials.

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Why is this important?

The shutdown immeditealy halted workflows across thousands of businesses, potentially forcing huge financial costs on affected users. But, if the model can be jailbroken, it would allow bad actors to cripple major companies, breach national defense systems, and even β€œturn off” large portions of the internet.

/ Housing

High prices have homebuilders down in the dumps

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Confidence among US homebuilders declined again this month as high mortgage rates, rising construction costs, and affordability concerns continue to weigh on the housing market.

Not so happy home

According to new data from the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, which measures builder sentiment for new single-family homes, homebuilders are straight up not having a good time.

  • This month, the index fell from 37 to 35.

  • For 14 straight months, builder confidence has stayed below 40. Any reading below 50 reflects poor market conditions.

Why the long face? Builders continue to deal with sky-high labor, land, and material costs, limiting their ability to lower prices without hurting profits. At the same time, high mortgage ratesβ€”which have risen by more than 50 basis points since the start of the Iran war (see data)β€”have left many potential buyers sitting on the sidelines.

Discounts may be heading your way

To offset weak demand, many builders are increasingly relying on incentives like price reductions, mortgage-rate buydowns, and other promotions to lure in prospective buyers:

  • 35% of builders reported slashing home prices in June.

  • Meanwhile, 62% of builders said they’re offering some form of sales incentive to attract buyers.

It comes amid a massive shortage: Experts say the country simply hasn’t built enough homes to keep up with demand. With an estimated shortage of 1.2 million units, many argue that easing regulations and speeding up development is the only way to improve affordability.

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Why does this matter?

With homebuilder optimism stuck at near-historic lows thanks to weak sales and high costs, prospective buyers are begining to have unprecedented leverage to demand steep price cuts and expensive financing concessions.

Follow this story as it evolves with NextGen+. Click the button below to see its status, momentum, and other key developments.

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/ Energy

US power use is set to hit record highs amid AI demand

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The US is expected to set new records for electricity consumption in both 2026 and 2027 due to the rapid growth of AI data centers, according to recent data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA).

How much energy?

A lot. For two years in a row, power consumption has already reached record highs and is only expected to continue climbing:

  • US electricity demand is projected to rise by 126 billion kWh (kilowatt-hours) in the next year, the equivalent of the annual electricity production of Australia.

  • This year, the US is estimated to need 4,271 billion kWh and 4,397 billion kWh in 2027.

Businesses are becoming the largest power consumers: For the first time on record, commercial electricity use is expected to pass residential consumption. The shift is largely being driven by (you guessed it) data centers, which require an increasingly enormous amount of electricity to train and operate advanced AI systems (watch breakdown). Some large AI data centers consume enough electricity to power hundreds of thousands of homes alone.

It’s taking a toll on the grid: As companies invest billions of dollars into AI infrastructure, utilities and grid operators are racing to keep up with growing demand. Experts warn that grid upgrades and new energy projects will be needed to prevent higher electricity prices and potential supply constraints.

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Why should you care?

As commercial data centers rapidly devour America’s electricity supply, everyday consumers may need to brace for rising utility bills and higher risks of summer brownouts as regional power grids struggle to keep pace with tech industry growth.

/ Travel

All-inclusive resorts are booming this year

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All-inclusive resorts, which have historically been popular among budget-friendly vacationers, are increasingly attracting wealthy travelers looking for convenience and luxury.

They’re bigger than ever

Resort operators are investing heavily in upscale amenities like private butlers, personalized wellness programs, high-end dining, and exclusive experiences to appeal to guests willing to spend thousands of dollars per night.

It’s an investment that’s paying off, especially for hotel chains:

  • Hyatt reported an 8.6% increase in revenue from its all-inclusive resorts in the Americas last year, with 84% of rooms being booked during the first quarter.

  • Marriott also announced plans to expand its presence in the Caribbean and Latin America to nearly 1,000 properties by 2030, including at least 13 luxury all-inclusive resorts.

It’s a good market to be in: According to Hotels.com, searches for all-inclusive resorts rose 70% during the first five months of the year compared to last year, and a recent study found 84% of people who have stayed at an all-inclusive resort were repeat visitors.

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Why is this important?

As even wealthy families look to shield their vacation budgets from unpredictable travel expenses, hotels and resorts increasingly catering to higher-income guests could eventually make traditional vacations more expensive.

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/ Fast Facts

Catch up on this week’s weird news

Gif by scifri on Giphy

> The first global map of underground fungal networks estimates that their combined length would stretch roughly 68 quadrillion miles if placed end to end, about 10% of the width of the Milky Way.

> Scientists have developed a breakthrough technique using electron microscopes that captured the sharpest images yet of some of the body’s smallest proteins, potentially transforming our understanding of diseases.

> A new study revealed that when wandering through spaces like museums or supermarkets, humans have a subconscious tendency to turn left and walk in a counterclockwise direction.

> Students at an Italian high school got an unexpected history lesson when archaeologists discovered a 2,000-year-old Roman villa buried directly underneath their gymnasium.

> Aerospace company Axiom Space and Italian fashion house Prada co-developed a high-performance cooling and ventilation undergarment that NASA astronauts will wear beneath their next-generation lunar spacesuits.

> The 2026 FIFA World Cup is expected to become the biggest gambling event in history, with hundreds of billions of dollars projected to be wagered as sports betting continues to go mainstream worldwide.

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